- The 2018 Memorial Tournament Memorial Tournament: Thursday, May 31, 2018 at 1:00 pm (Muirfield Village Golf Club) Click to Get Latest Betting Odds TV: GOLF, CBS Stream live sports and exclusive.
- Memorial Tournament 2018 Odds as Golf punter Dave Tindall looks at Betfair's odds on the First-Round leader market. Dave Tindall picks out three players to get onside early at this week's Memorial.
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- Now that the brackets for the 2018 men's NCAA tournament have been released, it's time to start legitimately asking the question of who has the best odds of winning the national championship.
The 2018 Memorial Tournament
PGA Tour Picks: The Memorial Tournament Odds and Expert Betting Predictions by Alan Matthews - 5/29/2018 Aaron Wise won on the PGA Tour in Dallas and then Justin Rose in Fort Worth on Sunday.
Memorial Tournament: Thursday, May 31, 2018 at 1:00 pm (Muirfield Village Golf Club)Click to Get Latest Betting Odds
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We make our first of two scheduled trips to Ohio for The Memorial Tournament, an event that debuted in 1976 and has seen playoffs in three of the last four years. Last week, four of our top five picks finished in the top-nine, including the runner-up. We had plenty of guys who gave us a chance to win but couldn’t quite cash out due to Francesco Molinari winning the tournament, a guy we had a couple times in the last few weeks. Good news is we’re inching closer and a win is bound to take place sooner or later if you believe in percentages.
Anyways…
Here are five golfers to consider throwing on your card this week.
Justin Rose - Justin Rose should be the favorite this week, but we’re getting him with +1400 odds instead. Sign me up. Rose is coming off a victory at the Fort Worth Invitational and has finished in the top-25 in six of his last seven events. In his last six appearances at the Memorial Tournament, Rose has finished eighth or better four times. That includes a runner-up spot in 2015 and a victory in 2010. Rose is in great form and has an impressive history here.
Rory McIlroy - Rory McIlroy is another elite player you can get with +1400 odds, so even though they’re near the top in odds, the price is steep enough to take a shot. McIlroy continued his great form as expected in the BMW PGA Championship, finishing runner-up and now finishing 16th or better in four of his last six events. McIlroy has three top-10 finishes at the Memorial Tournament since 2010, which includes a fourth place finish in 2016. Any time I can get McIlroy and odds of at least +1000, I’m taking it.
Hideki Matsuyama - It seems like every time I put Hideki Matsuyama on the card, he bombs, but then he has decent showings when I pay him no mind. I’ll roll the dice with him this week. Matsuyama is coming off a top-20 finish at the AT&T Byron Nelson and has produced top-20 finishes in two of his last four events. Matsuyama is playing some of his most consistent golf recently and finished fifth at the Memorial Tournament in 2015 while winning this event back in 2014. There’s value with Matsuyama and odds of +3500.
Matt Kuchar - Matt Kuchar may be the best value play of the week with +4500 odds. Kuchar has missed the cut just once in his last 16 events and while he doesn’t have a ton of top-10 finishes, he consistency nibbles around the top-25 and puts together decent showing after decent showing. It’s only a matter of time before that breakthrough performance takes place. Oh, Kuchar won this event back in 2013, while finishing runner-up in 2011 and fourth each of the last two years. Take Kuchar’s grind it out form and his amazing history here, and you have a potential winner with big odds. This has to be the best play on the board.
Kyle Stanley - Kyle Stanley has produced top-25 finishes in four of his last six events and is currently fourth in both driving accuracy percentage and greens in regulation percentage. In terms of best form for golfers who have yet to win an event this season, it probably doesn’t get much better than Stanley. There’s good reason to think this stretch continues with Stanley finishing sixth in last years Memorial Tournament and third back in 2013. If you’re looking for a real long shot play this week, Stanley is worth a strong look with +8000 odds.
The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.
Aaron Wise won on the PGA Tour in Dallas and then Justin Rose in Fort Worth on Sunday. You noticing a bit of a name trend there?
Rose shot a final-round 64 at Colonial on Sunday to finish at 20 under and beat out Brooks Koepka by three for Rose's first career win at the Fort Worth Invitational. He could have tied the 2010 tournament record of 259 but bogeyed the 72nd hole. It was the ninth career PGA Tour victory for Rose and second this year - he also took the World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions in Shanghai back at the start of the season (Koepka was runner-up in that too). He is the fifth player with multiple wins this season.
What's somewhat ironic about Sunday's victory was that Rose didn't even want to play the Fort Worth Invitational - he wanted to play the flagship event on the European Tour, the BMW PGA Championship -- but essentially had to per PGA Tour rules in order to keep his card. Perhaps the most interesting golfer at Colonial, though, was Kevin Na. He blistered the course with a 62 in Round 1 and tied the course record with a 61 in the fourth round. It's just that he struggled in the middle rounds at 73-70 and finished fourth at 14 under.
Memorial Tournament 2018 Odds
My winning choice was Matt Kuchar, but he finished T32 largely due to a second-round 73. I may have been a week premature on Kuchar, as I'll explain shortly. Jordan Spieth was the +900 favorite but again disappointed in his hometown area with a T32.
Before I get to this week's Memorial Tournament, there was an interesting report last week from Reuters about the potential of a 'World Golf Series.' That would consist of 15-20 tournaments worldwide each with a whopping purse of $20 million thanks to several big-name sponsors. The British-based World Golf Group has proposed the series. I'm not sure this will get off the ground only because both the PGA and European Tours have pretty strict rules for keeping your card. In the 1990s, Greg Norman proposed a similar tour, and the PGA Tour said it would remove memberships of any players who signed up for it.
There are probably five tiers of events on the PGA Tour currently. You have Tier 1, which are the four majors. Then Tier 2, the World Golf Championship events. Then Tier 3 is the Players Championship, Tour Championship, FedEx Cup playoff. Tier 4 is made up of five invitationals, which limit the field to 120 and offer a bigger purse and more perks for a win. The Memorial Tournament is one of those (Tier 5 is everything else).
The Memorial always gets a strong field because: 1) It's hosted by Jack Nicklaus; 2) It's played at the world-renowned Muirfield Village Golf Club outside Columbus, Ohio (where Nicklaus was born and raised and starred at Ohio State; the course also has hosted the Ryder Cup and Presidents Cup); and 3) Many guys use it as the final warmup for the U.S. Open. Eight of the world's Top 10 are set to play this week as well as five-time champion Tiger Woods for the first time since 2015. That year he shot a third-round 85, still his worst-ever score as a pro.
Muirfield Village is tough but fair, so you will surely need to score double-digits under par to win. It's a par 72 measuring almost 7,400 yards. You won't often see a player win a tournament with a third-round 77, but Jason Dufner did in 2017. He was four back entering Sunday but shot a 68 to finish at 13-under 275, three shots ahead of Rickie Fowler and Anirban Lahiri. No player has repeated here since Tiger won his third straight in 2001.
Golf Odds: Memorial Tournament Favorites
Dustin Johnson and Jason Day are both +1200. DJ was 17th at the Players Championship last time out and lost his world No. 1 ranking. He missed the cut here last year but was third in 2016. Day is pseudo-local now as his wife is from the area. The course doesn't seem to suit him well, though, with nary a Top 10 in his career at Muirfield.
Rose is +1400 to be the first player to win back-to-back this season. Thomas, who tees it up as the world No. 1 for the first time, is also +1400 as is Rory McIlroy. Jordan Spieth is +1600 and Tiger +2000. Rose won here in 2010 and was second in both 2015 and 2008. Thomas missed the cut here in 2015-16 but was fourth last year. McIlroy finished second at the BMW PGA Championship last week and was fourth here in his last visit in 2016. Spieth's best result at Muirfield is third in 2015.
Dufner is +6000 to win again.
Golf Odds: Memorial Tournament Picks
For a Top 10, I'll go Kuchar (+275), who has a win here (2013) and five other Top-8 finishes since 2009, McIlroy (+105) and Marc Leishman (+275). Tiger is +200 for one and I'm not loving that.
For top American, go Kuchar at +2000. Head-to-head, like Adam Scott (-110) over Phil Mickelson (-120), Leishman (-130) over Kuchar (even), Bubba Watson (-110) over Patrick Reed (-120), Henrik Stenson (-115) over Hideki Matsuyama (-115), Johnson (-120) over Day (-110), and McIlroy (-115) over Rose (-115).
I was tempted to pick Kuchar again, but let's go Leishman at +3500. He comes off a runner-up at the Byron Nelson and hasn't been worse than T15 his past three trips here with a scoring average of 69.67.
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